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Trader profile

formidabu11

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$10KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate28.6%35 settled · past 180 days0 open · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$12.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded39Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−16.7% / $95% interval −180.0% to +146.5%38 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−16.7%n=38 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 28.6% · Decided 35 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded18 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$17.2K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
16
Showing the largest 8 of 16
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$0PnL−$94Avg47¢Current200Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg0.9¢Current166,666.67Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$3.3KAvg1.4¢Current231,088.12Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$2.2KAvg1.8¢Current120,710.53Shares
Senegal · NoValue$0PnL−$118Avg59¢Current200Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$1.9KAvg1.9¢Current99,999.99Shares
Senegal · YesValue$0PnL−$102Avg17¢Current600Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$2KAvg0.8¢Current258,333.34Shares
Showing 8 of 16 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet formidabu11: 28.6% win rate over 35 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −16.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −180.0%, n=38 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−16.7% over 38 fills); −$10K lifetime P&L, $12.9M traded, updated 2026-09-23.