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Trader profile

Cannae

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.3MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate52.6%12,239 settled · past 90 days16 open · 10% underwater · 12 hours ago
Lifetime volume$132.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,313Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−5.9% / $95% interval −28.7% to +17.0%1,046 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−5.6%n=1,037 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 52.6% · Decided 12,239 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Top 5,000
Last loaded12 hours ago

This snapshot reached the 5,000-position product limit. Showing up to 5,000 positions by size.

Current position value
$9K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Snapshot cash PnL
−$14.4M
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Concentration
20.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
5,000
Showing the largest 8 of 5,000
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$1.9KPnL+$124Avg56¢Current60¢3,107.98Shares
Chiefs · YesValue$1.2KPnL−$7Avg86¢Current85.5¢1,415.57Shares
YesValue$621PnL+$29Avg39.1¢Current41¢1,513.55Shares
NoValue$562PnL−$0.53Avg98.3¢Current98.3¢572.48Shares
NoValue$556PnL+$6Avg44¢Current44.5¢1,250.43Shares
49ers · NoValue$548PnL−$3Avg79¢Current78.5¢697.91Shares
Eagles · YesValue$527PnL+$30Avg63.6¢Current67.5¢781.34Shares
NoValue$447PnL−$12Avg19¢Current18.5¢2,418.07Shares
Showing 8 of 5,000 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Cannae: 52.6% win rate over 12,239 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −5.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −28.7%, n=1,046 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−5.6% over 1,037 fills); +$1.3M lifetime P&L, $132.4M traded, updated 2026-09-23.