PolyTrace
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Trader profile

StasPanda

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$266.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate46.2%703 settled · past 90 days11 open · 97% underwater · 6 hours ago
Lifetime volume$20.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded532Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−13.9% / $95% interval −30.5% to +2.6%731 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+16.4%n=10 settled
Sports
−14.3%n=709 settled
Unmapped
−17.3%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 46.2% · Decided 703 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded6 hours ago
Current position value
$69K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1M
Concentration
61%
Largest share of value
Positions
102
Showing the largest 8 of 102
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C
Paper Rex · NoValue$42.1KPnL−$1.6KAvg58.6¢Current56.5¢74,485.46Shares
Valorant: TYLOO vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C
G2 Esports · NoValue$20.8KPnL−$144Avg68¢Current67.5¢30,883.99Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
YesValue$2.1KPnL+$350Avg17¢Current20.5¢10,000Shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
YesValue$1.3KPnL−$1.4KAvg18¢Current8.5¢15,256.03Shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$842PnL−$1.2KAvg17.6¢Current7.2¢11,775.03Shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
YesValue$564PnL−$739Avg8.6¢Current3.8¢15,050Shares
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
YesValue$550PnL−$5.3KAvg23.2¢Current2.2¢25,000Shares
Iran leadership change by December 31?
YesValue$462PnL−$16Avg15¢Current14.5¢3,183.96Shares
Showing 8 of 102 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet StasPanda: 46.2% win rate over 703 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −13.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −30.5%, n=731 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+16.4% over 10 fills); −$266.4K lifetime P&L, $20.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.