PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Gaditima

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$432.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate46.4%17,088 settled · past 90 days615 open · 55% underwater · 9 hours ago
Lifetime volume$24.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,287Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−7.6% / $95% interval −66.5% to +51.3%1,189 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+31.5%n=179 settled
Sports
−10.0%n=906 settled
Unmapped
−40.8%n=20 settled
Finance
−53.1%n=75 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 21 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 46.4% · Decided 17,088 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded9 hours ago
Current position value
$131.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.6K
Concentration
7.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
787
Showing the largest 8 of 787
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
NoValue$9.8KPnL−$578Avg93.5¢Current88.3¢11,105.77Shares
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?
NoValue$8.1KPnL−$533Avg96.5¢Current90.5¢8,949.26Shares
Will Kentucky Wildcats Win the 2026 SEC Championship?
NoValue$6KPnL+$0.81Avg99.8¢Current99.9¢5,990Shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
YesValue$5.8KPnL+$1.4KAvg43.1¢Current57.6¢10,006.56Shares
Will Oliver Marmol win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?
NoValue$5KPnL−$2Avg99.7¢Current99.7¢5,060Shares
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?
YesValue$3.9KPnL−$677Avg93.5¢Current79.8¢4,921.74Shares
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
YesValue$3.5KPnL+$1.3KAvg48.1¢Current76¢4,664.73Shares
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
NoValue$2.7KPnL+$569Avg67.4¢Current85.5¢3,142.3Shares
Showing 8 of 787 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Gaditima: 46.4% win rate over 17,088 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −7.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −66.5%, n=1,189 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+31.5% over 179 fills); −$432.3K lifetime P&L, $24.2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.