Trader profile

lightsout912

Directional

Profile updated2026-09-22

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$3.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Win rate70.8%414 settled · past 180 days64 open · 34% underwater · 1 day ago

Lifetime volume$220.2K1,000+ trades · Polymarket

Markets traded720Lifetime coverage

90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 70.8% · Decided 414 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded1 day ago

Current position value: $3.3K
Snapshot cash PnL: −$3.5K
Concentration: 13%
Positions: 172

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 27, 2026?

NoValue$430PnL+$25Avg87.1¢Current92.5¢465.14Shares

Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?

YesValue$418PnL+$153Avg46.6¢Current73.5¢568.87Shares

Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?

YesValue$343PnL+$25Avg72.7¢Current78.5¢437.34Shares

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 25, 2026?

NoValue$320PnL+$19Avg91¢Current96.9¢330Shares

Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

YesValue$262PnL+$29Avg75.1¢Current84.5¢310Shares

Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?

YesValue$245PnL+$128Avg36.6¢Current76.5¢319.99Shares

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?

NoValue$200PnL+$1Avg90.9¢Current91.5¢218.45Shares

Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?

NoValue$179PnL+$7Avg91.5¢Current95.3¢188.3Shares

Showing 8 of 172 positions by current value

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

2 months ago

SELLYES

Alibaba · 99.9¢

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Open market →

✓ won

$1.1K

About this wallet

Wallet lightsout912: 70.8% win rate over 414 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$3.5K lifetime P&L, $220.2K traded, updated 2026-09-22.