PolyTrace
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Trader profile

322capital

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$21.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet42 open · 23% underwater · 15 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded897Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−2.3% / $95% interval −55.8% to +51.2%254 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+0.1%n=227 settled
Unmapped
−15.1%n=27 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 15 minutes ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded15 hours ago
Current position value
$1.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$263K
Concentration
45.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
385
Showing the largest 8 of 385
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
MOUZ · NoValue$532PnL+$48Avg30.5¢Current33.5¢1,587.7Shares
Dota 2: Two Move vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Two Move · YesValue$452PnL+$136Avg70¢Current100¢452.64Shares
Will SER hold 59-61 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?
YesValue$10PnL+$4Avg30¢Current49.5¢20Shares
Will MLSTP win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?
YesValue$9PnL+$3Avg59¢Current91.5¢10.17Shares
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?
YesValue$9PnL+$3Avg63¢Current94.5¢9.52Shares
Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?
YesValue$9PnL+$3Avg52¢Current74.5¢11.54Shares
Will Humberto Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?
YesValue$8PnL+$2Avg10.9¢Current14.2¢55.05Shares
Will Mattias Ottosson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?
YesValue$7PnL+$1Avg66¢Current80.5¢9.09Shares
Showing 8 of 385 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 322capital: edge −2.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −55.8%, n=254 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+0.1% over 227 fills); −$21.2K lifetime P&L, $1.2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.