PolyTrace
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Trader profile

trashtier

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$27.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate55.6%1,347 settled · past 90 days84 open · 53% underwater · 7 hours ago
Lifetime volume$6.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,032Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−9.1% / $95% interval −63.5% to +45.2%14 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−10.8%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 55.6% · Decided 1,347 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$12.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$45.6K
Concentration
39.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,104
Showing the largest 8 of 1,104
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NoValue$4.9KPnL+$1.9KAvg50¢Current81.8¢6,000Shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$1.1KPnL−$1.9KAvg50¢Current18.3¢6,000Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$676PnL+$37Avg90.3¢Current95.5¢708.18Shares
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
YesValue$608PnL−$33Avg42.7¢Current40.5¢1,500.01Shares
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$477PnL+$12Avg94.9¢Current97.4¢490Shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
NoValue$463PnL+$1Avg76.3¢Current76.5¢604.6Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$312PnL+$92Avg46.9¢Current66.5¢469.08Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$292PnL+$13Avg79.7¢Current83.5¢350.04Shares
Showing 8 of 1,104 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet trashtier: 55.6% win rate over 1,347 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −9.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −63.5%, n=14 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−10.8% over 10 fills); +$27.6K lifetime P&L, $6.1M traded, updated 2026-09-23.