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Trader profile

ragutwo

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$5.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet46 open · 15% underwater · 12 hours ago
Lifetime volume$283K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded897Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$2.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$5K
Concentration
19.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
321
Showing the largest 8 of 321
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?
NoValue$454PnL+$196Avg53.2¢Current93.5¢485.35Shares
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?
YesValue$434PnL+$110Avg63¢Current84.5¢513.14Shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
YesValue$322PnL+$122Avg35.9¢Current57.9¢555.48Shares
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?
YesValue$206PnL+$18Avg15.5¢Current17¢1,213.15Shares
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?
YesValue$169PnL+$37Avg29.8¢Current38¢445.93Shares
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?
YesValue$125PnL+$0.99Avg39.2¢Current39.5¢315.86Shares
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$70PnL+$8Avg78.6¢Current88.6¢79.1Shares
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$64PnL+$34Avg40.7¢Current86.5¢73.48Shares
Showing 8 of 321 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet ragutwo: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$5.3K lifetime P&L, $283K traded, updated 2026-09-24.