PolyTrace
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Trader profile

MD14

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$159.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate71%245 settled · past 90 days0 open · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$13.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded519Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−21.5% / $95% interval −64.6% to +21.7%224 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+19.7%n=15 settled
Sports
−25.5%n=209 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 71% · Decided 245 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.5M
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
183
Showing the largest 8 of 183
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winner
Hanwha Life Esports · YesValue$0PnL−$10.2KAvg95¢Current0¢10,722.6Shares
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$107.9KAvg42¢Current0¢256,972.25Shares
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · NoValue$0PnL−$9.1KAvg40¢Current0¢22,864.82Shares
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner
Kiwoom DRX · YesValue$0PnL−$97Avg41¢Current0¢236.98Shares
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$3KAvg56¢Current0¢5,291.11Shares
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5
OverValue$0PnL−$3.7KAvg37¢Current0¢10,094.02Shares
LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B
Team Secret · YesValue$0PnL−$9.3KAvg61¢Current0¢15,256.82Shares
Spread: France (-1.5)
Senegal · NoValue$0PnL−$7.7KAvg81¢Current0¢9,539.67Shares
Showing 8 of 183 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet MD14: 71% win rate over 245 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −21.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −64.6%, n=224 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−25.5% over 209 fills); −$159.7K lifetime P&L, $13.3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.