PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x7d6d…2654

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$1.8MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate40.8%228 settled · past 180 days0 open · 1 month ago
Lifetime volume$29.8M705 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded217Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−18.7% / $95% interval −60.1% to +22.7%639 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−18.7%n=639 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 40.8% · Decided 228 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$5.1M
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
118
Showing the largest 8 of 118
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Stan Wawrinka
Stan Wawrinka · NoValue$0PnL−$124.8KAvg58.5¢Current0¢213,383.49Shares
Hamburg European Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Julia Stusek
Julia Stusek · NoValue$0PnL−$2.6KAvg20.7¢Current0¢12,473.33Shares
The Memphis Classic: Talia Gibson vs Tatjana Maria
Talia Gibson · YesValue$0PnL−$72KAvg32.5¢Current0¢221,613.36Shares
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?
YesValue$0PnL−$40KAvg29.4¢Current0¢135,968.19Shares
Hamburg European Open: Anna Bondar vs Alina Charaeva
Alina Charaeva · NoValue$0PnL−$1.4KAvg9¢Current0¢15,999.4Shares
Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga
Flavio Cobolli · YesValue$0PnL−$59.1KAvg57.3¢Current0¢103,122.3Shares
Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Gonzalo Bueno
Gonzalo Bueno · NoValue$0PnL−$1.9KAvg23.4¢Current0¢8,122.04Shares
Winnipeg: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Johannus Monday
Johannus Monday · NoValue$0PnL−$39KAvg23¢Current0¢169,739.85Shares
Showing 8 of 118 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x7d6d24d5d9393cc2dd566a95a1cccbe0aa882654: 40.8% win rate over 228 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −18.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −60.1%, n=639 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−18.7% over 639 fills); −$1.8M lifetime P&L, $29.8M traded, updated 2026-09-23.