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Trader profile

SheltonDoubter

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$243.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate50%44 settled · past 90 days7 open · 45% underwater · 1 hour ago
Lifetime volume$18.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded68Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+11.7% / $95% interval −16.7% to +40.2%91 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
+11.7%n=91 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 50% · Decided 44 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 hour ago
Current position value
$160.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$333.7K
Concentration
44.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
15
Showing the largest 8 of 15
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$71.4KPnL+$26.4KAvg50¢Current79.4¢90,000Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$42.5KPnL+$4.5KAvg57.7¢Current64.5¢65,948.99Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$22.9KPnL+$228Avg34.2¢Current34.5¢66,494.17Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$18.6KPnL−$26.4KAvg50¢Current20.7¢90,000Shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
NoValue$2.8KPnL+$10Avg99.1¢Current99.5¢2,786.41Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$1.9KPnL+$540Avg0.8¢Current1.1¢184,386.79Shares
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
YesValue$365PnL+$185Avg17.6¢Current35.6¢1,028.09Shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
YesValue$0PnL−$36.3KAvg25¢Current0¢145,000Shares
Showing 8 of 15 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet SheltonDoubter: 50% win rate over 44 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +11.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −16.7%, n=91 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (+11.7% over 91 fills); +$243.3K lifetime P&L, $18.3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.