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Trader profile

allen114

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$317.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate54.1%37 settled · past 90 days5 open · 94% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$8.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded443Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−36.8% / $95% interval −159.0% to +85.3%72 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−38.9%n=67 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 6 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 54.1% · Decided 37 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$32.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$497.2K
Concentration
39.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
104
Showing the largest 8 of 104
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$12.8KPnL−$9.9KAvg64.5¢Current36.5¢35,125.89Shares
US recession by end of 2026?
NoValue$11.2KPnL+$1.2KAvg80.4¢Current90.5¢12,365.5Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$5.2KPnL−$9.5KAvg55.5¢Current19.5¢26,472.38Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$3.4KPnL−$1.1KAvg46¢Current34.5¢9,985.79Shares
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?
YesValue$0PnL−$232Avg80¢Current0¢289.49Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
NoValue$0PnL−$10.5KAvg91.1¢Current0¢11,500.2Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 20?
YesValue$0PnL−$710Avg71¢Current0¢1,000Shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg49¢Current0¢3,000Shares
Showing 8 of 104 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet allen114: 54.1% win rate over 37 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −36.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −159.0%, n=72 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−38.9% over 67 fills); −$317.3K lifetime P&L, $8.4M traded, updated 2026-09-24.