PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x7cd4…0c98

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$37.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 19 hours ago
Lifetime volume$465.5K448 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded187Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−22.9% / $95% interval −248.4% to +202.5%72 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
−11.5%n=11 settled
Sports
−22.3%n=61 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded19 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$61.5K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
43
Showing the largest 8 of 43
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
Dplus KIA · YesValue$0PnL−$2.6KAvg78¢Current0¢3,371.79Shares
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
MOUZ · YesValue$0PnL−$933Avg70.9¢Current0¢1,316.56Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$350Avg51.2¢Current0¢683.18Shares
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
Yakult Brothers · NoValue$0PnL−$2KAvg56.9¢Current0¢3,517.48Shares
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner
Invictus GamingValue$0PnL−$2KAvg66¢Current0¢2,986.98Shares
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
JD Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$3.8KAvg59.6¢Current0¢6,377.28Shares
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?
YesValue$0PnL−$1.7KAvg67¢Current0¢2,518.78Shares
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
MIBR · NoValue$0PnL−$79Avg29.9¢Current0¢265Shares
Showing 8 of 43 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x7cd46ff1417f8ca32325a959bbf3c2f898ed0c98: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −22.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −248.4%, n=72 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−22.3% over 61 fills); −$37.9K lifetime P&L, $465.5K traded, updated 2026-09-23.