PolyTrace
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Trader profile

WizestWizard

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$39.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…23 open · 67% underwater · 7 hours ago
Lifetime volume$19.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded4,420Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−16.2% / $95% interval −536.7% to +504.2%32 settled fills · 90d window
Science
−16.2%n=32 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 6 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$4.3K
Concentration
48.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
66
Showing the largest 8 of 66
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 23?
NoValue$2.9KPnL+$17Avg99.4¢Current100¢2,937.89Shares
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on September 23?
NoValue$1.9KPnL+$27Avg98.5¢Current100¢1,873.94Shares
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 23?
NoValue$683PnL+$59Avg91.3¢Current100¢683.06Shares
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 23?
NoValue$400PnL+$48Avg87.9¢Current100¢400Shares
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 23?
NoValue$56PnL+$0.53Avg99¢Current100¢56Shares
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 23?
NoValue$37PnL+$7Avg81.3¢Current100¢37.17Shares
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$11PnL−$44Avg18¢Current3.6¢304.22Shares
Will there be no hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?
YesValue$5PnL−$12Avg98¢Current30.1¢18Shares
Showing 8 of 66 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet WizestWizard: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −16.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −536.7%, n=32 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Science (−16.2% over 32 fills); −$39.1K lifetime P&L, $19.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.