PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Car

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.5MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate59.9%1,199 settled · past 90 days297 open · 50% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$182.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded600Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+30.3% / $95% interval −68.7% to +129.3%390 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
+43.7%n=71 settled
Sports
+36.2%n=32 settled
Crypto
+26.8%n=25 settled
Politics
+24.0%n=234 settled
Unmapped
+2.2%n=18 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 59.9% · Decided 1,199 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$730.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.2K
Concentration
47.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
297
Showing the largest 8 of 297
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$345.2KPnL+$127.7KAvg50¢Current79.4¢435,000Shares
YesValue$89.8KPnL−$127.7KAvg50¢Current20.7¢435,000Shares
NoValue$69.2KPnL+$2.3KAvg83.7¢Current86.5¢80,033.41Shares
NoValue$28.1KPnL+$236Avg92.7¢Current93.5¢30,000.05Shares
NoValue$12.9KPnL+$2.5KAvg77.6¢Current96.7¢13,331.98Shares
NoValue$11.7KPnL+$139Avg95.9¢Current97.1¢12,060.99Shares
NoValue$9.7KPnL+$15Avg98¢Current98.2¢9,900Shares
NoValue$8.9KPnL−$50Avg89¢Current88.5¢10,000.02Shares
Showing 8 of 297 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Car: 59.9% win rate over 1,199 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +30.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −68.7%, n=390 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (+43.7% over 71 fills); +$1.5M lifetime P&L, $182.8M traded, updated 2026-09-23.