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Trader profile

Diabolical-Prize

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$965.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate47.2%142 settled · past 90 days20 open · <1% underwater · 7 hours ago
Lifetime volume$36.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded174Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−3.8% / $95% interval −10.3% to +2.7%1,272 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−2.4%n=1,152 settled
Unmapped
−15.9%n=120 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 47.2% · Decided 142 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$46.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$8.1M
Concentration
99.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
124
Showing the largest 8 of 124
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C
Team Liquid · YesValue$46.2KPnL+$2.5KAvg42.1¢Current44.5¢103,730.21Shares
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?
NoValue$55PnL+$0.14Avg99.1¢Current99.4¢55Shares
Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship?
NoValue$5PnL+$0.01Avg99.4¢Current99.6¢5Shares
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?
NoValue$5PnL+$0.01Avg99.3¢Current99.6¢5Shares
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?
NoValue$5PnL+$0.01Avg99.5¢Current99.7¢5Shares
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?
NoValue$5PnL$0Avg99.5¢Current99.6¢5Shares
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
NoValue$5PnL$0Avg99.6¢Current99.7¢5Shares
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?
NoValue$5PnL$0Avg99.6¢Current99.7¢5Shares
Showing 8 of 124 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Diabolical-Prize: 47.2% win rate over 142 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −3.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −10.3%, n=1,272 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−2.4% over 1,152 fills); −$965.1K lifetime P&L, $36.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.