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Trader profile

CandleHammerDrums

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$2.1MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate50.1%16,546 settled · past 90 days35 open · 52% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$46.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded727Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+12.5% / $95% interval +2.4% to +22.6%651 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+12.5%n=651 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 32 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 50.1% · Decided 16,546 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$18.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$6.7M
Concentration
41%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,376
Showing the largest 8 of 1,376
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar
Joaquin Aguilar · NoValue$7.6KPnL+$2.9KAvg62¢Current100¢7,602.01Shares
Korea Open: Yexin Ma vs Kimberly Birrell
Kimberly Birrell · NoValue$2.9KPnL−$192Avg57.1¢Current53.5¢5,394.72Shares
W50 Nanao: Rion Itaya vs Kurea Hayasaka
Rion Itaya · YesValue$1.7KPnL+$738Avg55.5¢Current100¢1,658.92Shares
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers · NoValue$864PnL−$290Avg62.1¢Current46.5¢1,857.97Shares
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics
Athletics · NoValue$846PnL−$11Avg84.6¢Current83.5¢1,013.15Shares
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres · YesValue$731PnL+$250Avg35.2¢Current53.5¢1,366.95Shares
Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Alina Charaeva
Anna Bondar · YesValue$652PnL+$50Avg54.9¢Current59.5¢1,095.11Shares
W50 Nanao: Mutsumi Uemura vs Hikaru Sato
Hikaru Sato · NoValue$645PnL+$305Avg52.7¢Current100¢645Shares
Showing 8 of 1,376 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet CandleHammerDrums: 50.1% win rate over 16,546 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +12.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound +2.4%, n=651 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+12.5% over 651 fills); +$2.1M lifetime P&L, $46.2M traded, updated 2026-09-24.