Trader profile

davidceto

Directional

Profile updated2026-09-20

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$500Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Win rate44.9%372 settled · past 180 days12 open · 54% underwater · 4 days ago

Lifetime volume$57.6K1,000+ trades · Polymarket

Markets traded414Lifetime coverage

90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 44.9% · Decided 372 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded4 days ago

Current position value: $278
Snapshot cash PnL: −$23
Concentration: 35%
Positions: 14

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

YesValue$97PnL+$18Avg80.5¢Current98.3¢99Shares

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

YesValue$72PnL+$12Avg60¢Current72¢100Shares

Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?

NoValue$25PnL+$7Avg71¢Current99.5¢25Shares

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

NoValue$25PnL−$0.75Avg51¢Current49.5¢50Shares

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

YesValue$15PnL+$4Avg22.2¢Current30.8¢50Shares

Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?

YesValue$14PnL−$1Avg21.8¢Current20.3¢70Shares

Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?

NoValue$11PnL−$4Avg60.8¢Current44.5¢25Shares

Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?

YesValue$10PnL+$4Avg26.5¢Current40.9¢25Shares

Showing 8 of 14 positions by current value

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

No whale trades recorded for this wallet in the tracked window.

About this wallet

Wallet davidceto: 44.9% win rate over 372 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$500 lifetime P&L, $57.6K traded, updated 2026-09-20.