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Trader profile

m1r4c13

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$13.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate93%3,367 settled · past 180 days1 open · 100% underwater · 5 days ago
Lifetime volume$623.3K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded5,407Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−8.2% / $95% interval −144.8% to +128.3%41 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−8.2%n=41 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 93% · Decided 3,367 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 days ago
Current position value
$100
Snapshot cash PnL
−$34
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
1
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Chinatrust BrothersValue$100PnL−$34Avg67.2¢Current50¢200.36Shares
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet m1r4c13: 93% win rate over 3,367 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −8.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −144.8%, n=41 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−8.2% over 41 fills); −$13.8K lifetime P&L, $623.3K traded, updated 2026-09-19.