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Trader profile

coali10

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$398.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate32.6%310 settled · past 90 days20 open · 34% underwater · 6 hours ago
Lifetime volume$32.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded221Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−22.0% / $95% interval −105.7% to +61.8%412 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
+22.4%n=33 settled
Sports
−3.7%n=159 settled
Politics
−37.9%n=190 settled
Culture
−40.0%n=12 settled
Crypto
−42.3%n=11 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 32.6% · Decided 310 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded6 hours ago
Current position value
$90.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.3M
Concentration
46.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
242
Showing the largest 8 of 242
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$42KPnL+$7.7KAvg60¢Current73.5¢57,140.97Shares
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$15.9KPnL+$5.5KAvg60.6¢Current92.5¢17,214.33Shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
NoValue$6.8KPnL+$339Avg67¢Current70.5¢9,679.28Shares
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
NoValue$6.3KPnL+$3.1KAvg47.5¢Current92.5¢6,819.41Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$5.8KPnL+$2.9KAvg29.5¢Current58.2¢10,035.29Shares
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
YesValue$4.3KPnL−$1.8KAvg58.5¢Current41.5¢10,374.74Shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$2.6KPnL+$1.1KAvg33¢Current58.5¢4,379.55Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$2KPnL+$437Avg29.7¢Current38.2¢5,139.32Shares
Showing 8 of 242 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet coali10: 32.6% win rate over 310 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −22.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −105.7%, n=412 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (+22.4% over 33 fills); +$398.1K lifetime P&L, $32.1M traded, updated 2026-09-23.