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Trader profile

Xeny

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$102.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate56%1,776 settled · past 180 days8 open · 48% underwater · 12 hours ago
Lifetime volume$10.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded614Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−26.9% / $95% interval −530.2% to +476.4%10 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 31 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 56% · Decided 1,776 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$38.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$11.1K
Concentration
72.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
124
Showing the largest 8 of 124
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$27.8KPnL+$10.3KAvg50¢Current79.4¢35,000Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$7.2KPnL−$10.3KAvg50¢Current20.7¢35,000Shares
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$186Avg79.6¢Current94.5¢1,246.79Shares
Eric Adams charged by December 31?
NoValue$708PnL+$84Avg73.6¢Current83.5¢847.38Shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?
YesValue$626PnL+$282Avg46.5¢Current84.5¢740.24Shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?
YesValue$468PnL+$301Avg22.9¢Current64.5¢724.96Shares
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?
NoValue$399PnL+$75Avg79.8¢Current98.3¢405.44Shares
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?
NoValue$14PnL+$0.94Avg90¢Current96.6¢14.28Shares
Showing 8 of 124 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Xeny: 56% win rate over 1,776 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −26.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −530.2%, n=10 settled fills over 90 days); +$102.5K lifetime P&L, $10.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.