PolyTrace
Back to wallets

Trader profile

litio

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate61.8%469 settled · past 180 days4 open · 35% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded583Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+36.7% / $95% interval −428.3% to +501.6%12 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+43.3%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 61.8% · Decided 469 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$477
Snapshot cash PnL
−$5.2K
Concentration
56.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
73
Showing the largest 8 of 73
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$169PnL+$24Avg72.2¢Current84.4¢200Shares
YesValue$24PnL−$36Avg15¢Current400Shares
YesValue$14PnL−$17Avg10¢Current4.5¢300Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$50Avg14.8¢Current340Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$5Avg0.3¢Current1,699.98Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$5Avg2.6¢Current200Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$6Avg2.4¢Current270Shares
Showing 8 of 73 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet litio: 61.8% win rate over 469 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +36.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −428.3%, n=12 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+43.3% over 10 fills); +$1.2K lifetime P&L, $1.4M traded, updated 2026-09-22.