PolyTrace
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Trader profile

123905

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$6.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet40 open · 0% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$149.2K161 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded44Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+8.0% / $95% interval −0.2% to +16.3%10 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+8.0%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$119.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$5.8K
Concentration
20.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
41
Showing the largest 8 of 41
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
NoValue$25KPnL+$3.4KAvg86.6¢Current100¢24,999.99Shares
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-10 House seat?
NoValue$15.4KPnL+$208Avg95¢Current96.3¢15,955Shares
Will the Republican Party win the OH-03 House seat?
NoValue$8.4KPnL+$254Avg95¢Current98¢8,604.45Shares
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat?
YesValue$4.6KPnL+$177Avg94.5¢Current98.3¢4,721.16Shares
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-05 House seat?
NoValue$4.5KPnL+$23Avg95¢Current95.5¢4,662.58Shares
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-03 House seat?
YesValue$4.1KPnL+$154Avg94.5¢Current98.2¢4,150.92Shares
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-07 House seat?
YesValue$3.6KPnL+$84Avg94¢Current96.3¢3,750.93Shares
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-18 House seat?
YesValue$3.2KPnL+$87Avg94.1¢Current96.8¢3,303.92Shares
Showing 8 of 41 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 123905: edge +8.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −0.2%, n=10 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+8.0% over 10 fills); +$6.4K lifetime P&L, $149.2K traded, updated 2026-09-22.