PolyTrace
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Trader profile

lolpredict

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$28.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate58.7%92 settled · past 90 days1 open · 0% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$1.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded478Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−5.3% / $95% interval −366.8% to +356.2%40 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−3.5%n=39 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 58.7% · Decided 92 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$1.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$88.7K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
64
Showing the largest 8 of 64
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
LoL: Solary vs ZSK (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D
Solary · YesValue$1.7KPnL+$387Avg77¢Current100¢1,686.19Shares
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Gen.G · YesValue$0PnL−$1KAvg55.1¢Current0¢1,890.19Shares
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)
Top Esports · YesValue$0PnL−$3KAvg59.1¢Current0¢5,066.93Shares
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)
Hanwha Life Esports · YesValue$0PnL−$3.1KAvg78¢Current0¢3,999.98Shares
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
Karmine Corp · YesValue$0PnL−$20KAvg73.5¢Current0¢27,245.22Shares
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
Shifters · NoValue$0PnL−$2.4KAvg58¢Current0¢4,097.92Shares
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
Movistar KOIValue$0PnL−$500Avg70¢Current0¢714.29Shares
LoL: Solary vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Season
Solary · YesValue$0PnL−$502Avg76¢Current0¢660Shares
Showing 8 of 64 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet lolpredict: 58.7% win rate over 92 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −5.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −366.8%, n=40 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−3.5% over 39 fills); −$28.9K lifetime P&L, $1.1M traded, updated 2026-09-23.