PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x7a85…ff94

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$29.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate45.9%749 settled · past 90 days1 open · 0% underwater · 18 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded798Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−29.1% / $95% interval −337.4% to +279.1%40 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−29.1%n=40 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 45.9% · Decided 749 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded18 hours ago
Current position value
$1.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$14.2K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
109
Showing the largest 8 of 109
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
LGD Gaming · YesValue$1.9KPnL+$344Avg81.9¢Current100¢1,908.8Shares
ITF W15 Astana 5 Women: Daria Kuznetsova vs Irem Kurt
Daria Kuznetsova · YesValue$0PnL−$6Avg27¢Current0¢22.81Shares
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winner
LGD Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$3Avg36.2¢Current0¢8.21Shares
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
1win · NoValue$0PnL−$64Avg16¢Current0¢400Shares
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Iron Wing · YesValue$0PnL−$20Avg29¢Current0¢68.97Shares
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
Nigma GalaxyValue$0PnL−$580Avg30.5¢Current0¢1,900Shares
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
TEAM VISION · YesValue$0PnL−$2.9KAvg48.7¢Current0¢5,852.52Shares
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
1win · NoValue$0PnL−$39Avg11¢Current0¢350Shares
Showing 8 of 109 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x7a85652f35c4a1b8a1b0393e6e2fa8db82f0ff94: 45.9% win rate over 749 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −29.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −337.4%, n=40 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−29.1% over 40 fills); −$29.8K lifetime P&L, $1.2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.