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Trader profile

mishipolis

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$159.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate50.5%11,222 settled · past 90 days14 open · 89% underwater · 12 hours ago
Lifetime volume$17.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,289Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+17.0% / $95% interval −106.8% to +140.9%83 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+17.0%n=83 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 50.5% · Decided 11,222 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$994
Snapshot cash PnL
−$10.5K
Concentration
29%
Largest share of value
Positions
557
Showing the largest 8 of 557
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$289PnL+$19Avg89.8¢Current96.3¢299.87Shares
Sierra Leone · NoValue$149PnL−$203Avg41.4¢Current17.5¢851.96Shares
Kent Women · NoValue$135PnL−$76Avg40.7¢Current26¢518.27Shares
Under 2.5 · NoValue$115PnL+$19Avg57¢Current68.5¢167.5Shares
Netherlands · NoValue$71PnL+$7Avg45¢Current50¢142.96Shares
NoValue$67PnL−$134Avg46.3¢Current15.5¢433.71Shares
Slovenia · NoValue$63PnL+$14Avg78¢Current100¢63.18Shares
YesValue$45PnL−$108Avg42.7¢Current12.5¢357.47Shares
Showing 8 of 557 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet mishipolis: 50.5% win rate over 11,222 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +17.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −106.8%, n=83 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+17.0% over 83 fills); +$159.4K lifetime P&L, $17.8M traded, updated 2026-09-23.