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Trader profile

Larix1

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$6.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate42%50 settled · past 180 days4 open · 100% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$879.4K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded77Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 42% · Decided 50 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$79
Snapshot cash PnL
−$20.4K
Concentration
67%
Largest share of value
Positions
13
Showing the largest 8 of 13
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?
NoValue$53PnL−$3Avg56¢Current53¢100Shares
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
YesValue$15PnL−$13Avg27¢Current14.5¢100Shares
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
YesValue$10PnL−$7Avg17¢Current10.1¢99.99Shares
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
YesValue$2PnL−$2Avg3.3¢Current1.5¢100Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
NoValue$0PnL−$443Avg34.6¢Current0¢1,278.48Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
YesValue$0PnL−$312Avg11.4¢Current0¢2,729.99Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?
YesValue$0PnL−$49Avg7¢Current0¢700Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?
NoValue$0PnL−$124Avg24.8¢Current0¢500Shares
Showing 8 of 13 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Larix1: 42% win rate over 50 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$6.5K lifetime P&L, $879.4K traded, updated 2026-09-22.