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Trader profile

J20260719

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$12.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate47%279 settled · past 180 days2 open · <1% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$735.8K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded718Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−10.6% / $95% interval −269.3% to +248.1%22 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−8.1%n=21 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 47% · Decided 279 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$395
Snapshot cash PnL
−$97.7K
Concentration
99.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
311
Showing the largest 8 of 311
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Saitama Seibu Lions · NoValue$392PnL+$92Avg57¢Current74.5¢526.32Shares
San Diego Padres · NoValue$3PnL−$0.28Avg65¢Current59.5¢5Shares
Invictus Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg56¢Current2,723.82Shares
BNK FearX Youth · NoValue$0PnL−$724Avg64¢Current1,130.93Shares
Natus Vincere · NoValue$0PnL−$395Avg52¢Current759.38Shares
CTBC Flying Oyster Academy · NoValue$0PnL−$141Avg26¢Current542.31Shares
Cincinnati Reds · NoValue$0PnL−$290Avg44¢Current659.09Shares
LOS · YesValue$0PnL−$298Avg68¢Current438.24Shares
Showing 8 of 311 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet J20260719: 47% win rate over 279 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −10.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −269.3%, n=22 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−8.1% over 21 fills); −$12.4K lifetime P&L, $735.8K traded, updated 2026-09-24.