PolyTrace
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Trader profile

6512395314597884

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$75.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet69 open · 21% underwater · 11 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$8.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,652Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−6.6% / $95% interval −39.9% to +26.7%838 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−6.6%n=838 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 21 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete11 minutes ago
Current position value
$43.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$88.2K
Concentration
27.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
282
Showing the largest 8 of 282
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks · YesValue$12.1KPnL+$1.4KAvg88.2¢Current100¢12,100.24Shares
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres · YesValue$4.4KPnL+$1.4KAvg41.6¢Current60.5¢7,232.65Shares
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros · YesValue$2.9KPnL+$325Avg53.6¢Current60.5¢4,738.02Shares
Vikings vs. Buccaneers
Vikings · YesValue$2.6KPnL+$25Avg52¢Current52.5¢4,926.77Shares
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners · NoValue$2.4KPnL+$811Avg26.2¢Current39.5¢6,102.32Shares
Ole Miss vs. Florida
Ole Miss · YesValue$2.4KPnL$0Avg40¢Current40¢6,000Shares
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)
Houston Astros · NoValue$2.3KPnL+$495Avg64.2¢Current81.5¢2,855.54Shares
East Texas A&M vs. McNeese
McNeese · NoValue$1.8KPnL+$111Avg60¢Current64¢2,750Shares
Showing 8 of 282 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 6512395314597884: edge −6.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −39.9%, n=838 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−6.6% over 838 fills); −$75.1K lifetime P&L, $8.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.