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Trader profile

Tomblanc

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate53.9%89 settled · past 180 days9 open · 55% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$1.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded95Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−4.0% / $95% interval −40.4% to +32.5%42 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−4.0%n=42 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 53.9% · Decided 89 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$4.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$846
Concentration
46.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
15
Showing the largest 8 of 15
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NoValue$2KPnL+$797Avg50¢Current81.9¢2,503Shares
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$677PnL−$139Avg28.3¢Current23.5¢2,881.28Shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$456PnL−$801Avg50¢Current18.2¢2,515Shares
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$403PnL−$18Avg12¢Current11.5¢3,500.01Shares
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
NoValue$373PnL−$8Avg62.9¢Current61.7¢605.18Shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$256PnL+$0.25Avg51.2¢Current51.2¢500Shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$179PnL−$5Avg60¢Current58.5¢305.72Shares
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$3PnL−$2Avg50¢Current34.5¢10Shares
Showing 8 of 15 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Tomblanc: 53.9% win rate over 89 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −4.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −40.4%, n=42 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−4.0% over 42 fills); −$2K lifetime P&L, $1.5M traded, updated 2026-09-22.