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Trader profile

lupo8

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$15.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rateOnly 12 settled so far0 open · 20 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.5M59 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded12Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−38.2% / $95% interval −134.1% to +57.7%12 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−38.2%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

Too few positions have settled to establish a win-rate record.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$72.7K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
11
Showing the largest 8 of 11
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
UpValue$0PnL−$5AvgCurrent500Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$31.5KAvg9.2¢Current342,467.22Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$15.8KAvg15.9¢Current99,391.03Shares
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$10Avg7.5¢Current133.33Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$25KAvg5.1¢Current489,871.04Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$5AvgCurrent55.56Shares
DownValue$0PnL−$5AvgCurrent500Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$260Avg1.9¢Current13,957.22Shares
Showing 8 of 11 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet lupo8: edge −38.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −134.1%, n=12 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−38.2% over 12 fills); −$15.7K lifetime P&L, $1.5M traded, updated 2026-09-24.