PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x7879…3653

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$108.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate52.5%478 settled · past 90 days0 open · 7 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,007Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−7.7% / $95% interval −58.3% to +42.9%333 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
−1.7%n=23 settled
Sports
−8.0%n=310 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 52.5% · Decided 478 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$741.7K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
455
Showing the largest 8 of 455
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Wizards vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 117.5
OverValue$0PnL−$1.3KAvg60.7¢Current0¢2,085.45Shares
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$1KAvg40¢Current0¢2,500Shares
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$300Avg16¢Current0¢1,875Shares
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-08-29?
YesValue$0PnL−$2.5KAvg61¢Current0¢4,098.36Shares
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Score
YesValue$0PnL−$10KAvg69.9¢Current0¢14,297.63Shares
RCD Mallorca vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$491Avg21.2¢Current0¢2,315.33Shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 24?
YesValue$0PnL−$508Avg9.2¢Current0¢5,548.52Shares
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg23.1¢Current0¢4,604.73Shares
Showing 8 of 455 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x787969a140b71ad9ae68982a8ee69b6dab353653: 52.5% win rate over 478 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −7.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −58.3%, n=333 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−8.0% over 310 fills); −$108.3K lifetime P&L, $3.9M traded, updated 2026-09-23.