PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Zaratustra

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$35.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate58.6%234 settled · past 90 days86 open · 61% underwater · 6 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded451Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+10.2% / $95% interval −193.4% to +213.8%55 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−13.0%n=48 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 58.6% · Decided 234 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete6 minutes ago
Current position value
$84.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.9K
Concentration
9.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
90
Showing the largest 8 of 90
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$8.4KPnL+$120Avg82.3¢Current83.5¢10,014.17Shares
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$7.2KPnL+$101Avg92.2¢Current93.6¢7,699.98Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$6.6KPnL−$200Avg68¢Current66¢10,000Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$5.9KPnL+$69Avg84.5¢Current85.5¢6,900Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$5.5KPnL−$1.4KAvg73.3¢Current58.1¢9,479.67Shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$5KPnL+$309Avg93.2¢Current99.4¢4,999.57Shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
NoValue$4.8KPnL−$15Avg70.7¢Current70.5¢6,852.97Shares
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
NoValue$3.6KPnL+$89Avg86.3¢Current88.5¢4,050Shares
Showing 8 of 90 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Zaratustra: 58.6% win rate over 234 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +10.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −193.4%, n=55 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−13.0% over 48 fills); +$35.6K lifetime P&L, $9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.