PolyTrace
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Trader profile

dudukos

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$15.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate23.6%1,748 settled · past 180 days7 open · 42% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$20.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded903Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−41.6% / $95% interval −309.5% to +226.3%19 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−39.4%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 23.6% · Decided 1,748 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$5.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$466.6K
Concentration
36.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
900
Showing the largest 8 of 900
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Iran leadership change by December 31?
NoValue$1.9KPnL+$1.2KAvg31.5¢Current85.5¢2,224.89Shares
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YesValue$998PnL−$1.6KAvg26.9¢Current10.5¢9,499.98Shares
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$864PnL+$454Avg45.9¢Current96.8¢893.49Shares
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
NoValue$814PnL+$354Avg48.3¢Current85.5¢952.04Shares
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?
NoValue$469PnL+$219Avg46.6¢Current87.5¢535.93Shares
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
YesValue$104PnL+$58Avg36¢Current80.5¢129.22Shares
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
YesValue$3PnL−$105Avg20¢Current0.5¢540.87Shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
YesValue$0.20PnL+$0.16Avg22¢Current100¢0.2Shares
Showing 8 of 900 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet dudukos: 23.6% win rate over 1,748 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −41.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −309.5%, n=19 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−39.4% over 12 fills); +$15.8K lifetime P&L, $20.8M traded, updated 2026-09-24.