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Trader profile

LucasCosta.

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$17.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate37.1%434 settled · past 90 days1 open · 0% underwater · 20 hours ago
Lifetime volume$814K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded957Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+7.2% / $95% interval −388.5% to +402.8%20 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−5.3%n=11 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 37.1% · Decided 434 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded20 hours ago
Current position value
$268
Snapshot cash PnL
−$39.7K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
148
Showing the largest 8 of 148
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group C
fnatic · YesValue$268PnL+$82Avg60¢Current86.5¢310Shares
Game Handicap: AP (-1.5) vs Pyramid IV Esports (+1.5)
Arctic Pandas · YesValue$0PnL−$531Avg44¢Current0¢1,206Shares
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5)
B8 · YesValue$0PnL−$682Avg34¢Current0¢2,005.2Shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO5) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
Aurora Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$972Avg27¢Current0¢3,599.97Shares
LoL: ZSK vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D
ZSK · YesValue$0PnL−$143Avg23¢Current0¢619.98Shares
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)
Karmine Corp · YesValue$0PnL−$1.4KAvg53¢Current0¢2,550Shares
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$155Avg24.8¢Current0¢624.48Shares
Game Handicap: HRTS (-2.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+2.5)
Team Heretics Academy · YesValue$0PnL−$274Avg26.9¢Current0¢1,019.39Shares
Showing 8 of 148 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet LucasCosta.: 37.1% win rate over 434 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +7.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −388.5%, n=20 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−5.3% over 11 fills); −$17.5K lifetime P&L, $814K traded, updated 2026-09-23.