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Trader profile

cumulus33

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$68.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate44.6%868 settled · past 90 days0 open · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$7.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,782Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−14.1% / $95% interval −40.0% to +11.8%60 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−14.1%n=60 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 13 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 44.6% · Decided 868 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$947.8K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
1,550
Showing the largest 8 of 1,550
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Detroit TigersValue$0PnL−$804Avg37¢Current2,172Shares
Milwaukee Brewers · NoValue$0PnL−$230Avg55¢Current418Shares
Cleveland GuardiansValue$0PnL−$279Avg53¢Current526Shares
Detroit Tigers · NoValue$0PnL−$1.7KAvg34.6¢Current4,990.9Shares
Cincinnati RedsValue$0PnL−$688Avg67¢Current1,027Shares
CapitalsValue$0PnL−$9Avg30.6¢Current27.85Shares
Showing 8 of 1,550 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet cumulus33: 44.6% win rate over 868 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −14.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −40.0%, n=60 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−14.1% over 60 fills); −$68.7K lifetime P&L, $7.7M traded, updated 2026-09-24.