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Trader profile

Dunedain

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate64.3%179 settled · past 180 days11 open · 34% underwater · 8 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded193Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−16.2% / $95% interval −249.6% to +217.2%33 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−16.5%n=32 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 31 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 64.3% · Decided 179 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$742
Concentration
37.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
43
Showing the largest 8 of 43
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
YesValue$1.5KPnL+$274Avg80.2¢Current97.9¢1,545.61Shares
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
YesValue$1.4KPnL+$10Avg98.9¢Current99.6¢1,412.67Shares
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
NoValue$413PnL+$16Avg94.5¢Current98.3¢420Shares
Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
YesValue$396PnL+$36Avg89.4¢Current98.5¢402.1Shares
Will the Russian Ecological Party “The Greens” win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?
NoValue$125PnL+$5Avg96.3¢Current100¢125Shares
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?
YesValue$124PnL+$18Avg84.6¢Current99.3¢125Shares
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
YesValue$22PnL+$1Avg92.3¢Current98.8¢21.93Shares
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
YesValue$16PnL−$143Avg3.4¢Current0.4¢4,599.66Shares
Showing 8 of 43 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Dunedain: 64.3% win rate over 179 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −16.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −249.6%, n=33 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−16.5% over 32 fills); +$6K lifetime P&L, $3.1M traded, updated 2026-09-23.