PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

0x77266604E63f5cAF08D19CaEBae0C563ce064aE

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$53.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…22 open · 64% underwater · 22 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded317Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+63.4% / $95% interval −34.2% to +161.0%46 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+75.8%n=41 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded22 hours ago
Current position value
$20.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.6K
Concentration
19.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
23
Showing the largest 8 of 23
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
NoValue$4KPnL+$117Avg82¢Current84.5¢4,676.25Shares
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$3.9KPnL+$648Avg52¢Current62.5¢6,173.94Shares
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
NoValue$3.2KPnL+$527Avg48.7¢Current58.5¢5,391.99Shares
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$2.9KPnL+$444Avg52¢Current61.5¢4,668.84Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
YesValue$2.3KPnL−$1.5KAvg45¢Current27.5¢8,420.86Shares
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$1.5KPnL+$40Avg92¢Current94.5¢1,598.37Shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$22Avg97.4¢Current99.2¢1,240.47Shares
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?
YesValue$1.1KPnL−$530Avg23.3¢Current15.8¢6,995.84Shares
Showing 8 of 23 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x77266604E63f5cAF08D19CaEBae0C563ce064…: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +63.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −34.2%, n=46 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+75.8% over 41 fills); +$53.5K lifetime P&L, $1.6M traded, updated 2026-09-23.