Last loaded4 hours ago
- Current position value
- $2.5K
- Snapshot cash PnL
- −$5.1K
- Concentration
- 84.6% Largest share of value
- Positions
- 114 Showing the largest 8 of 114
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Showing 8 of 114 positions by current value
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Trader profile
hqb.prediction
DirectionalHistorical record
Loss-making historically.
Lifetime PnL−$12.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate34%162 settled · past 90 days24 open · 98% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$4.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded185Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price
How this is computedProfit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.
−8.7% / $95% interval −405.5% to +388.1%76 settled fills · 90d window
- Crypto
- −8.7%n=76 settled
A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.
This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.
Measured 7 hours ago
How this record is measured
Win rate 34% · Decided 162 · 90d
Observed activity
Where and how this wallet trades
Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.
No category data for this wallet.
No tracked trading behavior yet.
Current holdings
Sources
Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.
Results by category
Sources
Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…
Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.
Recent activity
Whale activity over 30 days
Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.
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Large trades
Recent large trades
Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations
not settled — Market has not settled yet.
$2.2KOpen
not settled — Market has not settled yet.
$3.5KOpen
not settled — Market has not settled yet.
$4.5KOpen
not settled — Market has not settled yet.
$1.5KOpen
not settled — Market has not settled yet.
$2.2KOpen
About this wallet
Wallet hqb.prediction: 34% win rate over 162 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −8.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −405.5%, n=76 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−8.7% over 76 fills); −$12.6K lifetime P&L, $4.2M traded, updated 2026-09-24.