PolyTrace
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Trader profile

gambler925

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$7.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…43 open · 52% underwater · 12 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded337Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+15.9% / $95% interval −449.8% to +481.7%46 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+40.2%n=25 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$12.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.7K
Concentration
27.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
47
Showing the largest 8 of 47
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?
YesValue$3.4KPnL+$448Avg79.4¢Current91.5¢3,711.36Shares
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$1.8KPnL−$293Avg87.6¢Current75.5¢2,410.19Shares
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
YesValue$1.8KPnL+$361Avg68¢Current85.5¢2,075.87Shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?
YesValue$769PnL+$20Avg82.8¢Current85¢904.43Shares
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
NoValue$755PnL+$27Avg88.2¢Current91.5¢825Shares
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
NoValue$554PnL+$306Avg10.3¢Current23¢2,410.17Shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?
YesValue$334PnL−$395Avg19.6¢Current9¢3,712.38Shares
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
YesValue$315PnL−$23Avg94¢Current87.5¢360Shares
Showing 8 of 47 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet gambler925: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +15.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −449.8%, n=46 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+40.2% over 25 fills); +$7.1K lifetime P&L, $1.1M traded, updated 2026-09-23.