PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x76ae…b9c6

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$178Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet0 open · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$54.5K104 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded21Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−40.0% / $95% interval −725.2% to +645.2%10 settled fills · 90d window
Science
−40.0%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded11 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$155
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
19
Showing the largest 8 of 19
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 7?
YesValue$0PnL−$15Avg0.7¢Current0¢2,169.8Shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C or higher on August 11?
YesValue$0PnL−$21Avg0.4¢Current0¢5,599.46Shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 10?
YesValue$0PnL$0Avg0¢Current0¢433Shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 7?
YesValue$0PnL−$17Avg0.5¢Current0¢3,565.65Shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 10?
YesValue$0PnL$0Avg0¢Current0¢7,110.5Shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 6?
YesValue$0PnL−$13Avg0.7¢Current0¢1,812.72Shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on August 10?
YesValue$0PnL$0Avg0¢Current0¢3,741.72Shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 11?
YesValue$0PnL−$7Avg0.6¢Current0¢1,167Shares
Showing 8 of 19 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x76ae23f1376786c9160d226b0fd1a0433327b9c6: edge −40.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −725.2%, n=10 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Science (−40.0% over 10 fills); −$178 lifetime P&L, $54.5K traded, updated 2026-09-23.