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Trader profile

MadeiraIsland

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$32.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate52.8%1,203 settled · past 180 days0 open · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$2.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,542Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+12.9% / $95% interval −215.5% to +241.3%119 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+13.8%n=118 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 52.8% · Decided 1,203 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$68.5K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
246
Showing the largest 8 of 246
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
O/U 1.5 Rounds
OverValue$0PnL−$300Avg59¢Current0¢508.47Shares
US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev
Otto Virtanen · YesValue$0PnL−$282Avg33¢Current0¢855.5Shares
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants · NoValue$0PnL−$158Avg31¢Current0¢510.74Shares
England leading at halftime?
YesValue$0PnL−$245Avg35¢Current0¢700Shares
UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)
Alex Perez · YesValue$0PnL−$264Avg34¢Current0¢775.59Shares
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels · NoValue$0PnL−$205Avg46¢Current0¢445.53Shares
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensik
Jakub Mensik · NoValue$0PnL−$1KAvg66¢Current0¢1,515.15Shares
Will the fight be won by submission?
YesValue$0PnL−$62Avg17¢Current0¢367.03Shares
Showing 8 of 246 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet MadeiraIsland: 52.8% win rate over 1,203 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +12.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −215.5%, n=119 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+13.8% over 118 fills); −$32.4K lifetime P&L, $2.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.