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Trader profile

Runemup

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$19.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate61.1%113 settled · past 90 days2 open · 10% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$4.3M524 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded201Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+6.2% / $95% interval −27.9% to +40.2%491 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+6.2%n=491 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 61.1% · Decided 113 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$28.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$5.1K
Concentration
90.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
3
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Francisco Comesana · YesValue$26KPnL+$10.6KAvg51.1¢Current86.5¢30,003.07Shares
Chicago Cubs · NoValue$2.8KPnL−$1.2KAvg33¢Current23.5¢12,121.21Shares
Pittsburgh Pirates · NoValue$0PnL−$14.5KAvg56.2¢Current25,893.02Shares
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Runemup: 61.1% win rate over 113 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +6.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −27.9%, n=491 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+6.2% over 491 fills); −$19.5K lifetime P&L, $4.3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.