Last loaded4 days ago
- Current position value
- $195
- Snapshot cash PnL
- −$2
- Concentration
- 15.7% Largest share of value
- Positions
- 7 All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
All 7 positions shown
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Trader profile
Theonlyone
DirectionalHistorical record
Profitable historically.
Lifetime PnL+$626Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate75%36 settled · past 180 days7 open · 80% underwater · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded43Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price
How this is computedProfit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.
−12.4% / $95% interval −257.2% to +232.4%43 settled fills · 90d window
- Politics
- −12.4%n=43 settled
A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.
This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.
Measured 4 hours ago
How this record is measured
Win rate 75% · Decided 36 · 180d
Observed activity
Where and how this wallet trades
Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.
No category data for this wallet.
No tracked trading behavior yet.
Current holdings
Sources
Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.
Results by category
Sources
Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…
Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.
Recent activity
Whale activity over 30 days
Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.
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Large trades
Recent large trades
Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations
✓ won — Market settled and this position won.
$6.4K✓ won — Market settled and this position won.
$10K✓ won — Market settled and this position won.
$10K✗ lost — Market settled and this position lost.
$1.8K✓ won — Market settled and this position won.
$7.5KAbout this wallet
Wallet Theonlyone: 75% win rate over 36 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −12.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −257.2%, n=43 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−12.4% over 43 fills); +$626 lifetime P&L, $1.8M traded, updated 2026-09-20.