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Trader profile

DonaldinhoTrumpito

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$334.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate52.7%186 settled · past 90 days16 open · 4% underwater · 1 hour ago
Lifetime volume$56.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded368Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−21.7% / $95% interval −202.7% to +159.4%223 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−10.5%n=118 settled
Sports
−30.9%n=100 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 52.7% · Decided 186 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 hour ago
Current position value
$205.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$428.5K
Concentration
24.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
45
Showing the largest 8 of 45
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
NoValue$49.7KPnL+$3.2KAvg93¢Current99.4¢49,999.98Shares
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
NoValue$46.9KPnL+$5.4KAvg83¢Current93.8¢49,999.89Shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$24.8KPnL+$539Avg97.2¢Current99.4¢24,999.56Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
NoValue$18.5KPnL+$1.7KAvg84¢Current92.5¢20,000Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NoValue$18.2KPnL+$4.1KAvg60.7¢Current78.5¢23,197.21Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
NoValue$17.5KPnL+$2.5KAvg75¢Current87.5¢20,000Shares
Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?
NoValue$10.2KPnL+$648Avg92.4¢Current98.7¢10,363.57Shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
YesValue$9.5KPnL+$145Avg94¢Current95.5¢10,000Shares
Showing 8 of 45 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet DonaldinhoTrumpito: 52.7% win rate over 186 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −21.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −202.7%, n=223 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−10.5% over 118 fills); −$334.3K lifetime P&L, $56.2M traded, updated 2026-09-24.