PolyTrace
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Trader profile

probability

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$131.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate33%2,800 settled · past 90 days401 open · 40% underwater · 10 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$13.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded944Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−7.0% / $95% interval −63.0% to +48.9%116 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+1.4%n=60 settled
Sports
−17.1%n=46 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 33% · Decided 2,800 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete10 minutes ago
Current position value
$104.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$11.6K
Concentration
36.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
409
Showing the largest 8 of 409
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
NoValue$38.5KPnL+$18.5KAvg50¢Current96.2¢40,000Shares
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
YesValue$9.7KPnL+$8KAvg15.7¢Current86.5¢11,270.75Shares
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?
YesValue$3.7KPnL+$568Avg83.7¢Current99.2¢3,684.83Shares
Will Canva have the third highest private market valuation on September 30?
NoValue$2.6KPnL−$2Avg99.8¢Current99.8¢2,606.2Shares
Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation on September 30?
YesValue$2.5KPnL+$487Avg78.3¢Current97.4¢2,556.31Shares
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
YesValue$2.2KPnL+$8Avg98.9¢Current99.3¢2,223.02Shares
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on September 30?
YesValue$1.9KPnL+$743Avg60.6¢Current99.6¢1,907.2Shares
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on September 30?
YesValue$1.9KPnL+$171Avg86.3¢Current95¢1,971.87Shares
Showing 8 of 409 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet probability: 33% win rate over 2,800 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −7.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −63.0%, n=116 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+1.4% over 60 fills); +$131.6K lifetime P&L, $13.3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.