PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x74b4…6bea

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$38.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate70.3%326 settled · past 180 days27 open · 28% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded356Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−11.3% / $95% interval −263.4% to +240.8%91 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−6.7%n=58 settled
Crypto
−16.1%n=24 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 70.3% · Decided 326 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$103.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$754
Concentration
41.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
36
Showing the largest 8 of 36
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
NoValue$42.8KPnL+$4.1KAvg82.7¢Current91.5¢46,736.88Shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
NoValue$13.9KPnL+$688Avg94.6¢Current99.6¢13,999.99Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$6.3KPnL−$2.8KAvg90¢Current62.5¢10,000Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$5.3KPnL+$413Avg90¢Current97.6¢5,467.19Shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
NoValue$4.6KPnL+$964Avg73.2¢Current92.4¢5,033.33Shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?
NoValue$4.6KPnL+$311Avg88.1¢Current94.5¢4,886.07Shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
NoValue$4.5KPnL+$175Avg86¢Current89.5¢4,999.99Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September?
NoValue$3KPnL+$26Avg98.1¢Current99¢2,999.98Shares
Showing 8 of 36 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x74b4f9447b14b12308963fc048ae363eb0756bea: 70.3% win rate over 326 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −11.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −263.4%, n=91 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−6.7% over 58 fills); +$38.7K lifetime P&L, $3.2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.