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Trader profile

tetrose

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$212.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate35.8%341 settled · past 90 days72 open · 62% underwater · 12 hours ago
Lifetime volume$53.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded380Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−38.2% / $95% interval −158.0% to +81.5%419 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−31.6%n=221 settled
Politics
−46.6%n=187 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 35.8% · Decided 341 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$269.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$736.6K
Concentration
21.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
295
Showing the largest 8 of 295
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
NoValue$57.9KPnL−$809Avg71.5¢Current70.5¢82,090.57Shares
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
YesValue$31.5KPnL−$4.1KAvg19.2¢Current17¢185,311.22Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$30.5KPnL−$13.3KAvg46.6¢Current32.5¢93,869.13Shares
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YesValue$25.5KPnL+$24.4KAvg2.4¢Current52.9¢48,338.73Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
YesValue$23.5KPnL−$667Avg21.1¢Current20.5¢114,542.65Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
YesValue$20.2KPnL−$2.3KAvg15.1¢Current13.5¢149,642.38Shares
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$16.8KPnL−$157Avg30.8¢Current30.5¢55,237.28Shares
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
YesValue$9.3KPnL+$573Avg80.7¢Current86¢10,837.05Shares
Showing 8 of 295 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet tetrose: 35.8% win rate over 341 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −38.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −158.0%, n=419 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−31.6% over 221 fills); +$212.5K lifetime P&L, $53.2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.