PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x73bc…46ce

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$402.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate46.6%786 settled · past 90 days2 open · 95% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$12.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded493Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−2.4% / $95% interval −14.8% to +9.9%255 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−3.4%n=247 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 46.6% · Decided 786 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$1.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.2M
Concentration
99.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
223
Showing the largest 8 of 223
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Japan win on 2026-09-24?
NoValue$1.9KPnL+$22Avg43¢Current43.5¢4,366.91Shares
Will Nene Royal win AGT Season 21?
NoValue$1PnL−$387Avg18.3¢Current0.1¢2,122.28Shares
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$1.2KAvg47¢Current0¢2,521.95Shares
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner
ThunderTalk Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$6.1KAvg45¢Current0¢13,579.98Shares
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner
Team LynxValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg49.7¢Current0¢2,917.34Shares
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$19.4KAvg43¢Current0¢45,252.34Shares
SC Paderborn 07 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$10.4KAvg43¢Current0¢24,293.41Shares
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Astralis · NoValue$0PnL−$817Avg46.9¢Current0¢1,740Shares
Showing 8 of 223 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x73bcd24d510ff4e4d5feac6aec763c5511e246ce: 46.6% win rate over 786 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −2.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −14.8%, n=255 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−3.4% over 247 fills); +$402.8K lifetime P&L, $12.4M traded, updated 2026-09-24.