PolyTrace
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Trader profile

estoicc

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$8.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet120 open · 45% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$226.4K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded793Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$7.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$518
Concentration
6.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
135
Showing the largest 8 of 135
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30?
NoValue$495PnL+$330Avg30.9¢Current93¢532Shares
Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?
NoValue$244PnL+$132Avg41¢Current89.5¢273.17Shares
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?
NoValue$232PnL+$57Avg56.3¢Current74.5¢310.81Shares
Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?
YesValue$228PnL+$83Avg50¢Current78.5¢290Shares
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$218PnL+$59Avg63.5¢Current87¢250Shares
Will Mendonça Filho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?
NoValue$160PnL+$28Avg52.9¢Current64¢249.53Shares
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $220B by September 30?
NoValue$156PnL+$52Avg65.2¢Current97.5¢160Shares
Will Delegado Éder Mauro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?
YesValue$145PnL+$15Avg56.5¢Current63¢230.25Shares
Showing 8 of 135 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet estoicc: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$8.4K lifetime P&L, $226.4K traded, updated 2026-09-22.